What’s next for AlphaFold

Five years after AlphaFold 2 remade protein structure prediction, Google DeepMind co-lead John Jumper reflects on practical uses, limits and plans to combine structure models with large language models.

John Jumper joined Google DeepMind in 2017 and within three years co-led the development of AlphaFold 2, an Artificial Intelligence system that predicted protein structures with near-atomic accuracy and in hours rather than months. The breakthrough solved a decades-old challenge in biology and, together with Demis Hassabis, earned Jumper a Nobel Prize in chemistry in 2024. DeepMind followed AlphaFold 2 with AlphaFold Multimer and AlphaFold 3 and released predictions for roughly 200 million proteins into the UniProt database used by millions of researchers worldwide.

Technically, Jumper credits transformer-based models and rapid prototyping for the success. The team trained models on evolutionary and structural data and built systems that could be iterated quickly. Researchers adopted the software broadly and often responsibly, applying it to unexpected problems. Examples include honeybee disease studies, accelerated protein design workflows led by David Baker and others, and using AlphaFold as a search tool to identify previously unknown protein partners involved in human fertilization. In design workflows, AlphaFold and derivatives such as RoseTTAFold help teams decide which constructs to build, speeding design cycles by nearly an order of magnitude when the model is confident.

Users and developers also confront clear limits. AlphaFold is less reliable for dynamic interactions, multi-protein assemblies and some binding predictions, a gap that labs navigate by treating outputs as hypotheses to test. New entrants and collaborations aim to close those gaps: MIT and Recursion released Boltz-2 to predict binding and structure, and Genesis Molecular AI launched Pearl, which it says improves accuracy for drug-relevant queries and pushes error margins below one angstrom. Jumper urges pragmatism: structure prediction is a powerful step, not a cure-all. His next focus is integrating deep, narrow structure models with broad large language model capabilities to accelerate scientific reasoning, while pursuing smaller, sustained research efforts rather than chasing headline-scale breakthroughs.

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