Why LLMs Are Just Compression Algorithms with Delusions of Grandeur

LLMs aren't intelligent—they're just advanced compression systems predicting the next word based on patterns, not understanding. Useful? Absolutely. Smart? Not even close.

Let’s strip away the mystery: large language models aren’t magic. They’re not sentient, they’re not reasoning, and they’re definitely not “thinking.” What they are is stunningly advanced statistical compression engines trained to approximate human language with uncanny fluency. GPT-4 doesn’t understand your prompt any more than a zip file understands the contents it’s compressing. It just happens to be so good at predicting patterns that it looks like intelligence — until you scratch the surface.

Language models are trained to predict the next token based on prior tokens. That’s it. You feed it a huge amount of text, and it learns the statistical structure — how words, phrases, and syntax tend to flow. That predictive model becomes your chatbot, your autocomplete, your fake email generator, your “AI thought leader.” Underneath all of it is one job: minimize the loss function between what was written and what might plausibly have been written next.

This is compression — not just in the sense of reducing file size, but in the deeper information-theoretic sense. An LLM is trained to encode the latent statistical structure of a huge dataset and reproduce fragments of it, generalized through probabilistic inference. It’s a lossy, language-specific, context-dependent compression scheme — but a compression scheme nonetheless.

And that’s where the delusions come in.

Because the output is text — the thing we associate most directly with human thought — people assume the system must be understanding, reasoning, inferring. It’s not. It’s parroting. A very sophisticated, multi-layered parrot with 175 billion knobs to twiddle, but still: it’s parroting.

If you give GPT-4 a prompt like “Explain quantum entanglement to a 12-year-old,” it doesn’t actually know what entanglement is, nor what a 12-year-old is, nor what your intent is. What it knows is how people on the internet have explained physics to children, and what tone, vocabulary, and structure tends to follow prompts like that. It’s mining a compressed latent space of human language patterns to output something statistically appropriate.

That doesn’t mean it’s not useful. In fact, it’s wildly useful — especially for synthesis, summarization, style translation, and auto-generating boilerplate content. But useful doesn’t mean sentient. Just because a model can generate fluent paragraphs doesn’t mean it understands causality, intent, or truth.

Take reasoning. Real reasoning involves forming internal representations, validating them against external inputs, applying logic, and updating based on outcomes. LLMs don’t reason — they hallucinate correlations. They’re brilliant at sounding confident, even when they’re spitting out complete nonsense. That’s not a bug, that’s the whole architecture: generate the most likely next token, given what came before.

It’s like asking a Markov chain to write poetry and being shocked when it doesn’t grasp metaphor.

Even tasks that look like reasoning — chain-of-thought prompts, for example — aren’t proof of cognition. They’re evidence that the training data was full of humans doing reasoning out loud, and the model learned how to reproduce that format. It’s not “thinking” its way to a conclusion. It’s completing a pattern based on prior completions. Sometimes that pattern includes logic steps. Sometimes it doesn’t.

So why the hype?

Because the illusion is powerful. Human language is deeply tied to our perception of intelligence. We see coherent sentences and assume there’s coherent thought behind them. But when a system trained to minimize prediction error on text outputs something smart-sounding, that doesn’t mean it understands what it said. It means it was trained on a lot of smart-sounding things, and it’s learned how to compress and regurgitate those patterns convincingly.

What we’ve built with LLMs is less like HAL 9000 and more like a massive, context-sensitive autocomplete engine with a high parameter count and some clever tricks for prompt conditioning. It’s a compression engine trained to mimic thought — not generate it.

If that sounds reductive, good. It should.

Because framing LLMs as compression engines helps deflate the mythology and puts the focus back on what matters: how we use them. Treat them like tools, not prophets. Use them to streamline workflows, accelerate drafts, summarize content, personalize communication — but don’t outsource judgment or confuse output fluency with correctness. That’s how bad decisions and misleading narratives get made at scale.

It’s easy to see how this gets abused. Corporate teams treat model outputs as fact because “the AI said it.” Content farms churn out mountains of GPT-written garbage with zero editorial oversight. Worse, some vendors build entire business logic on top of hallucinating language models and act surprised when things fall apart.

The root of all this is the same: misunderstanding what these systems actually are.

If we told everyone these tools were just probabilistic compression machines with a language coating, the magic would wear off — but maybe the misuse would too.

So yes, LLMs are useful. Yes, they’re impressive. But no, they’re not intelligent. Not in any human, conscious, causal, or abstract sense. They’re compression algorithms with delusions of grandeur — and all the grandeur is projected onto them by us.

Christian Holmgreen is the Founder of Epium and holds a Master’s in Computer Science with a focus on AI. He’s worked with neural networks since the ’90s.
LLMs are smart parrots

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