Nvidia reports soaring profits but Artificial Intelligence crash risk looms

Nvidia has become the most valuable publicly traded company on the back of its chips powering the Artificial Intelligence boom, reporting huge quarterly profits even as insiders warn of a possible crash and overbuilt data centre capacity.

Nvidia’s transformation from a specialist graphics card maker into the backbone of the Artificial Intelligence industry is the central theme of the article. Two decades ago the company was worth around £6bn; it later rode demand from cryptocurrency mining and data centres to a valuation above £200bn. Today the firm is described as the most valuable publicly traded company, with a market capitalisation of more than £3.2tn. The article attributes that rise to Nvidia’s chips being the dominant hardware option for AI model training and deployment for companies that cannot manufacture their own silicon.

Financial results underline that dominance. Nvidia reported sales in the past three months equivalent to £34.5bn, up 56% year on year, with gross margins in excess of 70% and net profit for the quarter of £19.5bn. The company now exceeds apple by £700bn in market value, google by £1.3tn, and meta by £1.9tn. Nvidia forecasts further strength, predicting next-quarter sales of around £40bn even if it is allowed to make no sales to china.

Despite the strong numbers, the article lays out persistent concerns that the current cycle could mirror the dotcom boom and bust. Nvidia itself is not primarily an Artificial Intelligence company, but most of its major customers are, and some insiders warn of overexuberant investment. Praetorian capital management CEO harris kupperman argues that projected global Artificial Intelligence data centre spending could be excessive, and he points to the dotcom-era collapse of global crossing, which lost 97% of its peak valuation. The piece also highlights geopolitical and supply-chain risks: the us has sought to restrict sales to china, many components are sourced from taiwan, and founder and CEO jensen huang has been negotiating with donald trump, including a reported offer to share revenue if sales to china resume. The article concludes that while Nvidia expects more growth, the sector faces both financial and political hazards that could lead to a rapid market correction.

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