HDD prices jump as artificial intelligence storage demand strains supply

Hard disk drive prices are climbing as artificial intelligence and cloud workloads push manufacturers to near full capacity, raising concerns about potential shortages in 2025.

The traditional hard disk drive market is experiencing a sharp price increase as artificial intelligence infrastructure and cloud storage needs strain an already tight supply chain. According to DigiTimes, contract negotiations for the fourth quarter of 2025 concluded with traditional HDD prices settling about 4% higher quarter-over-quarter, marking the largest rise in the past eight quarters. The report indicates that this is over the largest increase in recent years, which suggests that demand is again outpacing supply in what has long been considered a slower segment of the storage market.

A significant portion of this renewed demand is coming from China, where a preference for domestically produced CPUs and operating systems, together with an increase in local PC assembly, has elevated HDDs back into a first-class role in some PC configurations after years of displacement by SSDs. Concerns about SSD data retention have also led certain customers and policymakers to favor HDDs for specific workloads where long-term reliability is prioritized over raw performance. This shift is particularly visible in desktop 3.5-inch drives, which are seeing especially strong uptake in the region.

Beyond the client PC market, large United States cloud service providers and hyperscalers are heavily procuring high-capacity HDDs to expand exabyte-class storage for artificial intelligence, analytics, and archival workloads. Manufacturers report that utilization rates are at or near full capacity as new demand builds on top of traditional surveillance and backup applications. The growth of artificial intelligence infrastructure, where storing massive datasets for model training is critical, has prompted artificial intelligence labs to incorporate HDD-based storage into their architectures for tiers where speed is less important than capacity and cost, reinforcing concerns that HDD supply could tighten further.

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